The Opening Range Breakout: Rules, Filters, and Where It Fails

Part of the Setups That Work series. The first candle of the day isn't the setup. The range is. New traders watch the open and react to the first big move. Experienced traders watch the open and wait, because the first 15 to 30 minutes of a session isn't a signal by itself, it's the … Continue reading The Opening Range Breakout: Rules, Filters, and Where It Fails

MA (Mastercard) Short-Term Swing Trade Idea: The $601 Breakout

Don’t buy the flag. Buy the break. Mastercard (MA) has been grinding higher for months, the same tape Visa just printed, and it is now trying to resolve a clean bull flag. Friday’s close was $569.29, through the upper flag line. The trigger is a confirmed close that holds that breakout, not a single poke … Continue reading MA (Mastercard) Short-Term Swing Trade Idea: The $601 Breakout

V (Visa) Short-Term Swing Trade Idea: The $422 Breakout

Don't buy the coil. Buy the break. Visa (V) has been pushing higher since the April lows near $290 and is now sitting in a tight coil just under all-time highs. Friday's close was $364.15. The level that matters is $375.71, the top of this consolidation and the same zone as the stock's all-time high … Continue reading V (Visa) Short-Term Swing Trade Idea: The $422 Breakout

CVNA (Carvana) Short-Term Swing Trade Idea: The $97 Reclaim

Week of August 15 update: TRIGGERED Friday, August 14. Friday close $75.59. First target $97.38 still overhead. Stop $60.12 intact. Full recap. Carvana just spent two weeks proving a bad earnings reaction wrong. CVNA closed Tuesday at $72.48, sitting right on top of the $74.56 shelf that's capped every bounce since the stock's post-earnings flush … Continue reading CVNA (Carvana) Short-Term Swing Trade Idea: The $97 Reclaim

LLY (Eli Lilly) Short-Term Swing Trade Idea

Week of August 15 update: WAITING. Trigger at $1,250 not hit. Friday close $1,180.16. Thesis intact. Full recap. The level that decides everything Eli Lilly (LLY) has spent the last several weeks doing the one thing that gets a stock on our radar: coiling right underneath its all-time high instead of falling apart. Price is … Continue reading LLY (Eli Lilly) Short-Term Swing Trade Idea